Afegbua Predicts Tinubu Victory in 2027, Says Atiku Will Beat Obi to Second Place

Edo State Commissioner for Information, Kassim Afegbua, has predicted that President Bola Tinubu will win the 2027 presidential election, with former Vice President Atiku Abubakar finishing second and Peter Obi coming third.

Afegbua made the projection while assessing the chances of major opposition figures during an interview on the Naija Unfiltered Podcast, where he described the election as essentially a three-horse contest.

The commissioner dismissed the possibility of Oyo State Governor Seyi Makinde making a significant impact in the race, questioning the strength of the platform under which the governor is seeking the presidency.

“It’s a three horse race please. Don’t bug me with the needless distraction of Seyi Makinde,” Afegbua said.

He also questioned the national reach of Makinde’s Advanced Peoples Movement, asking, “Where is APM in Nigeria, please? Where is Makinde? Why is he grandstanding?”

Afegbua was similarly dismissive of African Action Congress presidential candidate Omoyele Sowore and other opposition contenders, describing them as “rabble rousers” and insisting they would not feature prominently in the final outcome.

He gave his projected ranking bluntly: “Atiku Abubakar will come second. Peter Obi will come third. President Bola Tinubu will come first.”

The Edo commissioner said his prediction was based on statistics, research and what he described as empirical analysis of the ruling All Progressives Congress and its electoral strengths and weaknesses.

“We know where our weaknesses are as a party, and we also know the states where we are not going to do well,” he said, while maintaining that the APC was already working to address its weak areas ahead of the election.

Afegbua further argued that the political landscape could still change before 2027, but expressed confidence in the APC’s electoral machinery and described the ruling party as “very solid.”

The 2027 presidential race is expected to attract several major political figures, with parties and potential candidates already positioning themselves ahead of what is likely to be a closely watched contest.